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Not surprisingly, China’s leaders did not like what they heard, and they didn’t budge. Years of erratic and irresponsible policies, excessive Communist Party control and undelivered promises of reform have created a dead-end Chinese economy of weak domestic consumer demand and slowing growth. The only way that China’s leaders can see to pull themselves out of this hole is to fall back on pumping out exports. The tide of Chinese exports will continue, tensions with the United States and other trading partners will grow, China’s people will become increasingly unhappy with their gloomy economic prospects and anxious Communist Party leaders will respond with more repression. It is baked into China’s political system and has only worsened during President Xi Jinping’s decade in power.
Persons: Antony Blinken, Janet Yellen, that’s, Xi Organizations: Communist Party Locations: Beijing, United States
The Biden administration is set to announce new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and other goods as early as next week, according to people familiar with the matter, as President Biden looks for ways to protect America’s nascent clean energy sector from a surge of cheap Chinese imports. The long-awaited tariffs are the result of a four-year review of the levies that former President Donald J. Trump imposed on more than $300 billion of Chinese imports in 2018. That includes Chinese electric vehicles, which currently face a 25 percent tariff. The administration is expected to raise that to a much higher rate in order to make it prohibitively expensive to buy a Chinese EV. The administration has been considering tariffs as high as 100 percent, according to a person familiar with the deliberations.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump Locations: China
The proposal covers a range of issues, including minimum technical standards and ecological guidelines for battery production. AdvertisementChina's battery production in 2023 alone was already big enough to fill global demand, according to an analysis from BloombergNEF. China's global share of battery manufacturing capacity is expected to fallDespite the West's consternation, there is an upside for the bloc. China's global share of battery manufacturing is expected to decline in the years ahead, according to a report from the International Energy Agency, or IEA, published on Monday. AdvertisementChina now accounts for more than 80% of battery manufacturing capacity, followed by the US and the EU with around 5% each, per the IEA.
Persons: China's, , Xi Jinping's, Louise Loo, Loo, Chim Lee, Lee Organizations: Service, China's Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, European Union, Oxford Economics, Economist Intelligence, International Energy Agency, US, EU Locations: China, Beijing, Canada, Europe, India
For the 27th straight year, some of the brightest minds from across the business world descended on Beverly Hills in early May to attend the Milken Institute Global Conference. But while speculation stole headlines, Milken speakers spent much of their time fixated on the state of the US economy. But despite continued concerns about stagflation, Milken speakers overwhelmingly expressed confidence about economic growth at a May 6 session called "Global Markets at Inflection." "The economy is still extremely strong, consumers are still doing really well, businesses are still doing really well," Scharf said. Though far from perfect, the US is still the best place to investDespite the $34.7 trillion anvil hanging over the economy, Milken speakers widely agreed that the US is still the best place to invest and operate a company.
Persons: Elon Musk, he's, Milken, Wells, Franklin Templeton, Gerard Baker, Andre Esteves, Jenny Johnson, Charlie Scharf, Scharf, we've, it's, you've, hasn't, Sam, Joshua Friedman, Anne Walsh, Friedman, Esteves, they've, Johnson, " Scharf, Wells Fargo Organizations: Milken Institute Global, SpaceX, Business, Milken, The, Consumers, Starbucks, Canyon Partners, Investors, Guggenheim Investments, Milken Institute Global Conference, US Locations: Beverly Hills, Wells Fargo, Brazil, McDonald's, Washington
AstraZeneca has started to pull its Covid-19 vaccine from global markets because of low demand, the pharmaceutical giant said. The move was not related to any concerns about the shot’s side effects, the company said. Since the vaccine was approved in Britain in December 2020, over three billion doses have been supplied globally. The company said that it had decided to voluntarily withdraw all licenses to market its Covid vaccine. In March, AstraZeneca requested that the vaccine be withdrawn from most European countries.
Organizations: AstraZeneca, Oxford University, European Commission Locations: Britain
European markets are heading for a positive start to trading Tuesday as traders look ahead to a busy day of earnings reports in the region. BP, S4 Capital, Siemens Healthineers, Deutsche Post, Infineon, Bouygues, UBS, Adecco, Banco de Sabadell and Unicredit are among the companies reporting earnings Tuesday. Overnight, U.S. stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening after the Dow Jones Industrial Average wrapped its fourth positive day in a row. Asia-Pacific markets climbed overnight, extending gains from the previous session and buoyed by gains on Wall Street.
Organizations: S4 Capital, Siemens Healthineers, Deutsche Post, Infineon, Bouygues, UBS, Adecco, Banco de Sabadell, Dow Jones Locations: Asia, Pacific
How US presidential election years affect the market
  + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
But if the past century is any guide, the long-term consequences of US presidential election years on investor portfolios, including 401(k)s, is minimal at best. Unsurprisingly, those four presidential election years occurred at times of seismic events: The Great Depression. The S&P 500 alone has generated an average return of 7% during presidential election years since 1952, according to LPL Financial. If you limit that to presidential election years in which the incumbent president is running for reelection, the average jumps to 12.2%. “If you’re not going to make a change in a nonelection year, you shouldn’t do so in a presidential election year,” Mukherjee said.
Persons: TIAA, , Niladri Mukherjee, Jeff Buchbinder, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, ” Mukherjee, Mukherjee, What’s, — Mukherjee, you’re, Daniel Crosby, Crosby Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Bank, , Senate Locations: New York, United States
Read previewThe economy is bound to enter a downturn if the Federal Reserve delays cutting interest rates, according to Marija Veitmane, the head of equity research at State Street Global Markets. The Wall Street vet warned of an impending economic crash if the Fed doesn't ease monetary policy soon. Higher interest rates are already taking a toll on economic strength, she noted, even if growth numbers looked fine last quarter. But the economy is already showing signs of strain from the burden of elevated interest rates, Veitmane warned. Markets are largely expecting the Fed to keep interest rates level at its next policy meeting.
Persons: , Marija Veitmane, Veitmane Organizations: Service, Federal, Street Global Markets, Business, CNBC, AAA
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed delay of rate cuts will cause 'no landing then crash': State StreetMarija Veitmane, head of equity research at State Street Global Markets, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy in a "higher for longer" rate environment.
Persons: Marija Veitmane Organizations: Street Global Locations: U.S
Moscow — Kremlin-owned gas giant Gazprom plunged to a net loss of 629 billion rubles ($6.9 billion) in 2023, its first annual loss in more than 20 years, as sales to Europe plummeted in the wake of Russia’s war in Ukraine. Analysts had expected net income of 447 billion rubles ($4.9 billion) in 2023, according to Interfax news agency. The company made a net profit of 1.2 trillion ($13.1 billion) rubles in 2022, the year Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Russia’s gas exports to Europe, once its primary export market, have slumped largely because of the political fallout from the conflict in Ukraine. The company’s core profit, or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization known as EBITDA, dropped to 618.38 billion rubles ($6.7 billion) last year from 2.79 trillion rubles ($30.4 billion) in 2022, according to Reuters’ calculations.
Persons: Alexei Miller, Vladimir Putin, Ronald Smith Organizations: Gazprom, Analysts, Reuters, BCS Global Markets Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, St . Petersburg, Europe
Kremlin-owned gas giant Gazprom said on Thursday it plunged to a net loss of 629 billion rubles ($6.9 billion) in 2023, its first annual loss in more than 20 years, amid dwindling gas trade with Europe, once its main sales market. Analysts had expected net income of 447 billion rubles, according to Interfax news agency. Gazprom's 2023 loss followed a net profit of 1.2 trillion roubles in 2022. It said on Thursday it made a net loss of 364 billion roubles from sales in 2023, in contrast to a profit of 1.9 trillion roubles in 2022. Its total revenue fell to 8.5 trillion rubles last year from 11.7 trillion in 2022.
Persons: Alexei Miller, Vladimir Putin, Ronald Smith Organizations: Gazprom, Saint Petersburg, Soviet, Analysts, BCS Global Locations: Saint Petersburg, Russia, Europe, Soviet Union, Ukraine, Moldova, St . Petersburg, Moscow
Banks jumped 0.8%, while oil and gas stocks retreated 1%. European stocks opened mixed on Thursday as global markets react to the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision and a slew of corporate earnings. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was unlikely that the central bank's next move will be a rate hike. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher overnight as traders reacted to the Fed's stance, while U.S. stock futures advanced as investors looked ahead to more corporate earnings due Thursday. Dutch bank ING was 5% higher in early deals after announcing a 2.5 billion euro ($2.7 billion) share buyback.
Persons: Banks, Jerome Powell, It's, Vestas, Hugo Boss Organizations: U.S, U.S . Federal, Dow, region's, Novo Nordisk, Shell, ING, AXA, ArcelorMittal Locations: London, U.S ., Asia, Pacific, Europe
Huawei’s comeback gathers pace as quarterly profit surges
  + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Beijing Reuters —Huawei Technologies’s net profit leapt 564% to 19.65 billion yuan ($2.71 billion) in the first quarter, a regulatory filing by its parent company showed on Tuesday, as it continues to recover from US sanctions. Huawei’s revenue for the quarter to the end of March rose 37% to 178.5 billion yuan, the filing to China’s National Interbank Funding Center showed. It did not break down how business units, such as consumer and smart car components, performed. Apple’s share in the world’s biggest smartphone market fell to 15.7% in the first quarter from 19.7% a year earlier. It has become a force in smart car technology too, with its driver assistance system touted by at least seven Chinese automakers at the Beijing auto show.
Persons: “ digitalization, decarbonization ”, Counterpoint Organizations: Beijing Reuters, Huawei, Apple Locations: Beijing
Light trading volumes are expected in Europe on Wednesday, with only London's FTSE index open, due to the May Day/Labor Day public holiday in the region. Nonetheless, global markets are focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest interest rate announcement after the central bank's monetary policy committee concludes a two-day meeting later on Wednesday. The latest interest rate decision follows another hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation reading last Friday. S&P 500 futures slipped Tuesday night as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. In the Asia-Pacific region overnight, Australian and Japanese markets fell as investors braced for the Fed's rate decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Europe, U.S ., Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe can easily see the Bank of Japan moving in June: State Street Global MarketsDwyfor Evans, managing director and head of Asia-Pacific macro strategy at State Street Global Markets, discusses how U.S.-Japan interest rate differentials might affect the yen.
Persons: Dwyfor Evans Organizations: Bank of, Global, Street Global Locations: Bank of Japan, Asia, Pacific, Japan
Carlos Sainz of Ferrari during second practice ahead of the Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix at Las Vegas Strip Circuit in Las Vegas, United States on November 17, 2023. Proponents of the "Netflix effect" often point to a poll taken in 2022 which found 28% of American adults considered themselves to be F1 fans, with more than half crediting "Drive to Survive." If this were true it would mean there were an incredible 72 million F1 fans in the U.S. alone. This argument runs out of road slightly however, when you consider that only 2 million Americans tuned in to watch the 2023 Miami Grand Prix. Today, F1 fans are estimated to be around 40% female, up from just 8% in 2017, as well as significantly more culturally diverse.
Persons: Carlos Sainz, Ferrari, Jakub Porzycki, Nielsen, it's, Toni Cowan, Brown, Cowan, Zak Brown, McLaren, It's, Buzz Radar, TJ Adeshola, Aston Martin, McLaren Unboxed, Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri, Thaier Organizations: Las Vegas, Nurphoto, Netflix, ESPN, IndyCar, NASCAR, Prix, Miami Grand Prix, CNBC, North, Anp, Getty, YouTube, Liberty Media, Aston, Aston Martin Racing, Buzz, Formula, sudani Locations: Las Vegas, United States, U.S, North America, North American, Nevada, Aston Martin, Australia, Bahrain
Optimism in India's growth shows little signs of slowing, but policy continuity will be crucial if it wants to see strong growth in the next five years, Rob Subbaraman, Nomura's chief economist and head of global markets research Asia ex-Japan, said. India's elections are underway and Modi is widely expected to win a strong mandate for a third term in office. That projection is much higher than Nomura's growth outlook for China (3.9%), Singapore (2.5%) and South Korea (1.8%) in the same period. "With China's economy slowing, India is likely to be the fastest growing Asian economy this decade," Nomura said in a recent note. "Irrespective of the election outcome, policy continuity and a focus on macroeconomic stability are important growth underpinnings," the bank's analysts added.
Persons: Rob Subbaraman, Modi, Subbaraman, Nomura Organizations: Modi, CNBC, Bharatiya Janata Party Locations: Asia, Japan, China, Singapore, South Korea, India
The action quickly and sharply reversed back to the upside Friday after blowout earnings reports from Alphabet and Microsoft . In the week ahead, earnings are likely to drive the action again, though we'll get a few important macroeconomic reports. Earnings: We've got the biggest week of the earnings season ahead of us, with 12 Club holdings set to report. Eli Lilly 's report Tuesday morning continues to be all about sales of type-2 diabetes treatment Mounjaro and weight-loss drug Zepbound. In DuPont 's report Wednesday morning, we're looking for a continued rebound in its semiconductor business following a sequential increase last quarter.
Persons: Ford, we'll, Dow Jones, We've, Buckle, Eaton, Eli Lilly, Lilly, We're, Estee Lauder, Fabrizio Freda, we've, Linde, Bausch, Royal Philips, Woodward, SIRI, Archer, Johnson, Stanley Black, Decker, BAX, Cardinal Health, Parker, Belden, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Meta, Google Search, Big Tech, Nvidia, Broadcom, Ford Motor, Honeywell, Danaher, Labor Department, Labor, PMI, Services PMI, GE Healthcare, Amazon Web Services, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, DuPont, Bausch Health, U.S ., Appeals, Apple, iPhones, Vision, ON Semiconductor, Resource Partners, Franklin Resources, Paramount, Transocean Ltd, Semiconductors, Arch Capital, Logitech International, Lattice Semiconductor, F5 Networks, Sanmina Corporation, GE HealthCare, PayPal, 3M Company, McDonalds, Enterprise Products Partners, Cola Company, Melco Resorts, Entertainment, SiriusXM Holdings, Oatly, American Electric Power Company, Leidos Holdings, Marathon Petroleum, Daniels, Midland Co, Equitrans Midstream Corporation, HSBC Holdings, HSBC, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Lumen Technologies, Mondelez, Pfizer, CVS Health, Barrick, Mastercard Inc, Cruise Line Holdings Ltd, Kraft Heinz Company, Marriott International, Ares, Generac Holdings, Johnson Controls, Cenovus Energy Inc, Qualcomm, Devon Energy, Paycom, Axcelis Technologies, Coeur D'Alene Mines, Sunnova Energy International, MGM Resorts International, MGM, Solar Inc, Oil, Allstate, Co, Tenable Holdings, Enovix Corporation, Gladstone Capital, Avis Budget Group, eBay, EBAY, LIN, Novo Nordisk, Natural Resources, PENN Entertainment, Apache, ConocoPhillips, InMode Ltd, Baxter International, Cardinal, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Apollo Global Management, LLC, Cinemark Inc, Dominion Energy, Coterra Energy, Coinbase, Bill.com Holdings, Booking Holdings, United States Steel, AXT Inc, Materials, Energy, Hershey Company, XPO Logistics, Cboe, American Pipeline, Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Brookfield Business Partners, Brookfield Renewable Corporation, Magna International, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, megaprojects, China, Eaton, Corning, Coeur D'Alene, Albemarle, ALB, Novo, New York
The Biden administration is correct that China has not played fair. But he said the nations that could rival China in shipbuilding are Asian competitors. Shipbuilding subsequently dropped to around five ships per year, which is approximately the current rate of U.S. shipbuilding. President Joe Biden speaks to members of the United Steel Workers Union at the United Steel Workers Headquarters on April 17, 2024 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Biden announced new actions to protect American steel and shipbuilding industries including hiking tariffs on Chinese steel.
Persons: Biden, Ben Nolan, Nolan, Reagan, Joe Biden, Jeff Swensen, , Darron, Wadey, Lloyd, Matson, George Washington, Ronald O'Rourke, O'Rourke Organizations: Mitsui Shipbuilding Co, Taicang Port Economic, Technological, Future Publishing, Getty, CNBC, Shipbuilding, Global, United States, Trade, U.S . Trade, U.S, China's Ministry of Commerce, United Steel Workers, Japan's Nippon Steel, United Steel Workers Union, United Steel Workers Headquarters, Analysts, Matson Shipping, Jones Act, Philly Shipyard, CMA CGM, Matson, United, Maritime Administration, U.S ., Huntington Ingalls Industries, News Shipbuilding, U.S . Navy, U.S Navy, Newport News Shipbuilding, Virginian Pilot, Tribune, Service, Force, warfighting, Navy, Biden, Congressional Research Service Locations: Taicang Port, Suzhou, Jiangsu province, China, U.S, Japan, South Korea, United States, Pennsylvania, Pittsburgh , Pennsylvania, American, Bangladesh, U.S . Virgin Islands, Great, Mississippi, Ohio
A worker fixes flags of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party displayed on a hoarding prior in Raipur on April 15, 2024 ahead of the country's upcoming general elections. India's stock markets started the year in record-high territory, much of it supported by pre-election optimism — but as the country kicked off its weeks-long election, Bernstein warned that a market correction could be in place. Market players have been pricing in a victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ruling Bharatiya Janata Party. Modi, who has been prime minister since 2014, is seen as a market-friendly candidate. Nearly one billion eligible voters will decide who fills the 543 contested seats in the Lok Sabha, the lower house of the Indian Parliament.
Persons: Bernstein, Narendra Modi's, Modi, Venugopal Garre, Nikhil Arela Organizations: Bharatiya Janata Party Locations: Raipur, India, Lok Sabha
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser praised China for making solar panels and electric vehicles affordable. Saudi Arabia is fostering closer ties with China and wooing Chinese investments and business partnerships. Unlike the West, Saudi Arabia is cozying up to China. "There are lots of opportunities for China to invest in Saudi Arabia," Alibrahim told the media outlet. In March last year, China brokered a détente between Saudi Arabia and Iran, prompting concerns over waning US influence in the Middle East.
Persons: Amin Nasser, Nasser, China's overcapacity, Janet Yellen, Olaf Scholz, China Nasser's, Faisal Alibrahim, Alibrahim, Jon Alterman Organizations: Saudi, Service, Saudi Aramco, World Energy, Financial Times, West, Nikkei, Aramco, Center for Strategic, International Studies, China Economic, Security Locations: China, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Aramco, Saudi, Rotterdam, East Asia, Beijing, Saudi Arabian, Iran, United States
Christian Lindner (FDP), Federal Minister of Finance, is on his way to a bilateral meeting with US Treasury Secretary Yellen at the headquarters of the World Bank. Bernd von Jutrczenka | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesGerman carmakers do not have to fear competition from China and are still considered the best in the world, German Finance Minister Christian Lindner told CNBC. "German car manufacturers are world leading, they do not have to fear Chinese competition," Lindner said. Competition in the electric vehicle, or EV, market in China and Europe, as well as the U.S., has been heating up in recent months. This came ahead of Scholz's visit to China earlier this month, during which he warned against unfair competitive and trade practices.
Persons: Christian Lindner, Yellen, Bernd von Jutrczenka, CNBC's Karen Tso, Lindner, China's BYD, Tesla, Janet Yellen, Ursula von der, Wang Wentao, Olaf Scholz Organizations: Federal, of Finance, US, World Bank, Getty, German, CNBC, Washington , D.C, European Union . U.S, Treasury, European Commission, European Union, Commerce, EV, Reuters Locations: China, Washington ,, Europe, U.S, EVs, EU
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe spike in VIX this month hasn't been unexpected, says CBOE's Mandy XuMandy Xu, CBOE Global Markets head of derivatives market intelligence, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) trends, the potential for rates volatility spilling into equity markets, earnings season, and more.
Persons: Mandy Xu Mandy Xu Organizations: CBOE
What to Know About China’s Export Dominance
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Keith Bradsher | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
China’s car shipments to foreign markets have quintupled in the past four years. Even exports in labor-intensive industries like furniture making, which China was once expected to lose to lower-wage countries, are surging. American and European leaders have become increasingly vocal that a flood of Chinese exports is swamping their markets. But China’s manufacturing sector is so strong that its export push will be difficult to counter. Chinese companies have increased exports to the West through indirect routes in Southeast Asia and Mexico, sidestepping tariffs on goods that come directly from China.
Persons: Rich, Xi Locations: China, India, Brazil, West, Southeast Asia, Mexico
This is because climate politics looks different in the developing world; it will shape Indian elections in definitive but under-the-radar ways. Similarly, stump speeches throughout this campaign season have not featured climate change as a central issue. The headwinds of climate change are absorbed by the electoral machine and emerge as end-of-tailpipe policies rather than grand climate strategy. This pattern of climate politics is reinforced by seemingly low recognition in India of climate change as a problem. The climate impacts buffeting the most populous nation on earth aren’t just a domestic issue — they’re an international one.
Persons: Aditya Valiathan Pillai Nadeem Z, Aditya Valiathan Pillai, Read, New Delhi CNN —, Amarjeet Kumar Singh, Kabir Jhangiani, Narendra Modi, Stump, Pawan Sharma, Tamanna Dalal Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP Locations: New Delhi, India, Bangalore, Silicon, Karnataka, Mumbai, Delhi, sunburnt, Uttar Pradesh, China, Australia, Agra, Maharashtra, North Bengal, Bengal
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